CEIR 宣布 2019 年第四季度业绩

Exhibition Industry Continues to Grow Modestly

DALLAS, 2 March 2020 – 展览业研究中心(欧盟环境影响评估中心) reports that growth of the exhibition industry continued during the fourth quarter of 2019. The CEIR Total Index, a measure of exhibition industry performance, ended the year with an impressive turnaround after three consecutive quarters of deceleration. It posted a relatively strong year-over-year gain of 2.1% (see Figure 1) even though it still slightly underperformed the overall economy as reflected in the inflation-adjusted GDP (see Figure 2).

Figure 1: Quarterly CEIR Total Index for the Overall Exhibition Industry, Year-over-Year Growth, 2011Q1-2019Q4

Figure 2: Quarterly CEIR Total Index for the Overall Exhibition Industry vs. Quarterly Real GDP, Year-over-Year Growth, 2008Q1-2019Q4

“The performance during the fourth quarter shows the resilience of the exhibition industry despite uncertainties surrounding trade negotiations with China and slowing world economy,” said CEIR Economist Allen Shaw, Ph.D., Chief Economist for Global Economic Consulting Associates, Inc.

Discretionary Consumer Goods and Services; Industrial/Heavy Machinery and Finished Business Inputs; and Business Services 均实现了强劲的同比增长。相比之下, Consumer Goods and Retail Trade, and Raw Materials and Science 与去年同期相比有所下降。

All exhibition metrics in the fourth quarter posted positive year-over-year gains (Figures 3 and 4). Real revenues (nominal revenues adjusted for inflation) and attendees posted the largest increase of 4.1% and 2.5%, respectively. Net square feet (NSF) rose a modest 1.2% and exhibitors gained 0.6%.

Figure 3: Quarterly CEIR Metrics for the Overall Exhibition Industry, Year-over-Year Growth, 2019Q4

Figure 4: Quarterly CEIR Metrics for the Overall Exhibition Industry, Year-over-Year Growth, 2009-2019Q4

For the entirety of 2019, the Total Index increased by 1.2%, exactly as predicted during the 2019 CEIR Predict Conference and just 0.2 percentage point shy of the forecast of 1.4% as published in the 2019 年 CEIR 指数报告 released in April 2019.

“The performance through the fourth quarter indicates that the exhibition industry has achieved a ninth consecutive year of growth, albeit slowing growth as was forecasted by our economists in the 2019 CEIR Index Report,” said CEIR CEO Cathy Breden, CMP, CAE, CEM. “The healthy economy bodes well for the exhibition industry in 2020, but coronavirus is a wild card that we need to deal with.”

除了编制季度展览指数外,CEIR 还提供分析工具、年度深度报告和展望会议。 CEIR 事件性能分析器 为展览组织者提供了一种工具来衡量活动在其领域以及整个行业中的表现。 CEIR 指数报告 提供展览业的经济概况,包括关键增长指标。这些资源共同为制定业务战略和目标提供了见解。 2020 CEIR Index Report will include a three-year forecast for the business-to-business exhibitions and events industry.

The CEIR Predict Conference will be held 21-22 September 2020 at the MGM National Harbor, just outside Washington, D.C. Predict will provide insights into the performance of the exhibitions industry, and a forecast through year-end, along with an economic presentation by Alex Chausovsky of ITR Economics discussing how world events are expected to impact the global economy. Registration for the CEIR Predict Conference opens in March, stay tuned at www.ceir.org/predict.

展览业研究中心 (CEIR) 致力于通过制作和提供基于知识的研究工具来促进展览和其他面对面营销活动的增长、知名度和价值,这些工具使利益相关者组织能够提高满足当前和新兴客户需求的能力,提高业务绩效并增强竞争地位。有关更多信息,请访问 www.ceir.org.


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