CEIR Announces 2018 Fourth Quarter Results

展览业持续增长

展览业研究中心(欧盟环境影响评估中心) reports that the recent growth of the exhibition industry continued during the fourth quarter of 2018. The growth of the industry, as measured by the CEIR Total Index, accelerated from a year-over-year gain of 0.9% in the third quarter to 2.5% in the fourth quarter (see Figure 1). With this stronger performance, the exhibition industry has narrowed the growth gap with inflation-adjusted GDP (see Figure 2).

Figure 1: Quarterly CEIR Total Index for the Overall Exhibition Industry, Year-over-Year Growth, 2011Q1-2018Q4

Quarterly CEIR Total Index for the Overall Exhibition Industry, Year-over-Year Growth, 2011Q1-2018Q4

 

Figure 2: Quarterly CEIR Total Index for the Overall Exhibition Industry vs. Quarterly Real GDP, Year-over-Year Growth, 2008Q1-2018Q4

Quarterly CEIR Total Index for the Overall Exhibition Industry vs. Quarterly Real GDP, Year-over-Year Growth, 2008Q1-2018Q4

“The performance during the fourth quarter shows the resilience of the exhibition industry despite uncertainties surrounding the trade negotiation with China, volatile stock markets and slowing world economic growth,” said CEIR Economist Allen Shaw, Ph.D., Chief Economist for Global Economic Consulting Associates, Inc.

Food; 政府; 和 Raw Materials and Science 均实现了强劲的同比增长。相比之下, Consumer Goods and Retail Trade; Financial, Legal, and Real Estate; 和 运输 与去年同期相比有所下降。

All exhibition metrics in the fourth quarter posted positive year-over-year gains (Figures 3 and 4). Real revenues (nominal revenues adjusted for inflation) and attendees posted the largest increase of 4.4% and 3.2%, respectively. Net square feet (NSF) rose 1.6% and exhibitors expanded 1.0%.

Figure 3: Quarterly CEIR Metrics for the Overall Exhibition Industry, Year-over-Year Growth, 2018Q4

Quarterly CEIR Metrics for the Overall Exhibition Industry, Year-over-Year Growth, 2018Q4

 

Figure 4: Quarterly CEIR Metrics for the Overall Exhibition Industry, Year-over-Year Growth, 2009-2018Q4

Quarterly CEIR Metrics for the Overall Exhibition Industry, Year-over-Year Growth, 2009-2018Q4

For the year 2018 as a whole, the Total Index increased by 1.9%, just slightly lower than the 2.0% gain in 2017. At 109.0 (2014=100), the Total Index in 2018 surpassed the previous peak of 107.6 in 2007.

“Nearly a decade after the Great Recession, the exhibition industry in 2018 has finally entered an aggregate size above the previous peak,” said CEIR CEO Cathy Breden, CMP, CAE. “Barring an unexpected recession, the overall growth for the industry in 2019 will continue, albeit at a modest pace, as the economy remains healthy, even though a little softer than 2018.”

除了编制季度展览指数外,CEIR 还提供分析工具、年度深度报告和展望会议。 CEIR 事件性能分析器 为展览组织者提供了一种工具来衡量活动在其领域以及整个行业中的表现。 CEIR 指数报告 provides an economic overview of the exhibition industry, including key indicators for growth. Together, these resources provide insights for developing business strategies and goals. The 2019 CEIR Index Report will be released in April and will include a three-year forecast for the business-to-business exhibitions and events industry.

年度 CEIR 预测会议, scheduled for 16-17 September 2019 at the MGM National Harbor, will provide exhibition professionals with macroeconomic insights and help attendees understand the economic and political factors impacting the exhibition industry.

关于 CEIR
展览业研究中心 (CEIR) 致力于通过制作和提供基于知识的研究工具来促进展览和其他面对面营销活动的增长、知名度和价值,这些工具使利益相关者组织能够提高满足当前和新兴客户需求的能力,提高业务绩效并增强竞争地位。有关更多信息,请访问 www.ceir.org.

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